Usa Rare Earth Stock Performance

USAR Stock  USD 21.84  1.24  6.02%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, USA Rare holds a performance score of 6. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 3.04, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, USA Rare will likely underperform. Please check USA Rare's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether USA Rare's current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in USA Rare Earth are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, USA Rare reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
6.02
Five Day Return
(9.94)
Year To Date Return
54.35
Ten Year Return
116.88
All Time Return
116.88
1
USA Rare Earth Is Up 30.3 percent After Venezuela Shake-Up And Accelerated Round Top Timeline
01/06/2026
2
USA Rare Earth Is Surging Today -- Is the Stock a Buy for 2026
01/20/2026
3
Heres Why USA Rare Earth Stock Popped 17 percent Today
01/26/2026
4
USA Rare Earth Stock Price Down 1.4 percent Should You Sell
01/30/2026
5
This 25 Stock Could Be Your Ticket to Millionaire Status
02/02/2026
6
Americas Mineral Infrastructure Draws Capital As Critical Materials Deficits Deepen
02/03/2026
7
Why Is USA Rare Earth Stock Suddenly Down Today
02/04/2026
8
USA Rare Earth Funding And Project Vault Role Highlight Undervalued Stock Potential
02/05/2026
9
Acquisition by Blitzer Michael of 6000000 shares of USA Rare at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow275.7 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities246.9 M

USA Rare Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,723  in USA Rare Earth on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  461.00  from holding USA Rare Earth or generate 26.76% return on investment over 90 days. USA Rare Earth is currently generating 0.712% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.2096% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 73% of stocks are less volatile than USA, and 86% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days USA Rare is expected to generate 10.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

USA Rare Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of USA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.84 90 days 21.84 
about 9.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of USA Rare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.98 (This USA Rare Earth probability density function shows the probability of USA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.04 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, USA Rare will likely underperform. Additionally USA Rare Earth has an alpha of 0.4454, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   USA Rare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for USA Rare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USA Rare Earth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3221.5329.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7027.9136.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.8217.0325.23
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.1338.6042.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as USA Rare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against USA Rare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, USA Rare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in USA Rare Earth.

USA Rare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. USA Rare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the USA Rare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USA Rare Earth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of USA Rare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

USA Rare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of USA Rare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for USA Rare Earth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
USA Rare Earth is way too risky over 90 days horizon
USA Rare Earth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
USA Rare Earth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
USA Rare Earth was previously known as Inflection Point Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol IPXX.
USA Rare generates negative cash flow from operations
USA Rare Earth has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: USA Rare Earth Funding And Project Vault Role Highlight Undervalued Stock Potential

USA Rare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential USA Rare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. USA Rare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2101.00

USA Rare Fundamentals Growth

USA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of USA Rare, and USA Rare fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on USA Stock performance.

About USA Rare Performance

Assessing USA Rare's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into USA Rare's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the USA Rare is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.33  0.34 
Return On Capital Employed(0.23)(0.22)
Return On Assets 0.33  0.34 
Return On Equity 0.33  0.34 

Things to note about USA Rare Earth performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about USA Rare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for USA Rare Earth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
USA Rare Earth is way too risky over 90 days horizon
USA Rare Earth appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
USA Rare Earth has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
USA Rare Earth was previously known as Inflection Point Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol IPXX.
USA Rare generates negative cash flow from operations
USA Rare Earth has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: USA Rare Earth Funding And Project Vault Role Highlight Undervalued Stock Potential
Evaluating USA Rare's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate USA Rare's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing USA Rare's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether USA Rare's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining USA Rare's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating USA Rare's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of USA Rare's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of USA Rare's stock. These opinions can provide insight into USA Rare's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating USA Rare's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact USA Rare's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for USA Stock Analysis

When running USA Rare's price analysis, check to measure USA Rare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy USA Rare is operating at the current time. Most of USA Rare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of USA Rare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move USA Rare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of USA Rare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.